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Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

The Boston RedSox (12-10) and Pittsburgh Pirates (11-10) wrap up a 3-game interleague series at PNC Park Sunday. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:35 PM ET. Let’s round out the BetMGM Sportsbook lines Red Sox vs. Pirates chances and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season Series: Red Sox lead 2-0, outscore Pittsburgh 12-3 in first 2 games of series, winning each as slight underdog

The Red Sox posted a 4-2 victory on Saturday as slight +105 underdogs (+105) while the Under (7.5) cashed in. Boston has three wins in its last four outings and three wins in a row on the road. The Under is 6-3 in their previous 9 games.

The Pirates have dropped five straight and the offense has dried up dramatically. Pittsburgh has only scored 8 total runs during the skid – that’s 1.6 runs per game (RPG). However, the pitching has scored four or more runs per game and the Over is 4-2 in the past six games. Pittsburgh has dropped each of its last three home games.

Red Sox at Pirates predicted starters

RHP Josh Winckowski vs. LHP Martin Perez

Winckowski (1-1, 4.63 ERA) makes his 1st start and 8th appearance in 2024. He has a 2.06 WHIP, 6.2 BB/9 and 13.1 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-5 win over New York Yankees August 20, 2023
  • 2024 Road Splits: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (5 IP, 0 ER – 4 R), 3 H, 3 BB, 9 K and .158 opponent batting average in 3 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-1, 7.88 ERA (8 IP, 7 ER), 9 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 5 K, 1.375 WHIP in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Perez (1-0, 2.55 ERA) makes his 5th start of 2024. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 24 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 6-3 loss at New York Mets Monday
  • Last home start: No-decision, 8 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 5-3 loss vs. Detroit Tigers April 9
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 5-2, 4.28 ERA (54 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 60 H, 4 HR, 24 BB, 31 K, 1.537 WHIP in 9 starts and 1 relief appearance

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Red Sox vs. Pirates odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a complete list. Rules last updated at 4:07 am ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Pirates -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-175) | Pirates -1.5 (+145)
  • Top/Bottom (O/U): 8.5 (U: -115 | U: -105)

Red Sox at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 6, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The PIRATES (-140) are a solid play in Sunday’s series finale as the Bucs look to salvage something in the three-game set after dropping the first two games.

Perez has been solid and the Bucs are 2-2 in his first four starts this season. The Bucs should be able to land Winckowski, who fills an opener role for the BoSox (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

The PIRATES -1.5 (+145) are worth a look at the run line. Although Pittsburgh hasn’t won since April 14 and has lost five straight, the Bucs’ past three wins since April 8 have been by three or more runs.

The Red Sox have reached the run line as underdogs in four straight games and have won outright in three of those games.

Top/Bottom

MORE THAN 8.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a playing with half units only.

The Under has cashed in six of the past nine games for the Red Sox, but starting an opener before turning it over to the bullpen is a bit concerning for Boston.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 6 games for the Pirates, and the Over is also 3-1 in the first 4 starts for Perez.

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For more sports betting choices and tipscheck out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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